Really Clearly Off the Mark
Just to put these polls in perspective, check out the Real Clear Politics' "analysis" of the 2000 election. They predicted a Bush EV win, 446 to 92 and a 7-10% popular vote landslide:
"The real debate is not who is going to win the election, but whether Bush will win 308 electoral votes or 474 electoral votes. The media's fantasy of Bush winning the popular vote and losing the electoral college is not going happen. The worst case scenario for a Bush victory will be a 2-3 point win in the popular vote and 10-20% more than the necessary 270 EC votes."
"The real debate is not who is going to win the election, but whether Bush will win 308 electoral votes or 474 electoral votes. The media's fantasy of Bush winning the popular vote and losing the electoral college is not going happen. The worst case scenario for a Bush victory will be a 2-3 point win in the popular vote and 10-20% more than the necessary 270 EC votes."
posted by Neckface at 1:55 PM
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