Oh High Oh

Good news on Ohio. I think. Bush ahead in some polls, Kerry ahead in others. But the genius at Mystery Pollster (full disclosure: he's a Democrat) has this to say as a summation:

"Main point: you are watching the underlying principles of the Incumbent Rule in action. With Bush at roughly 47%, the race in Ohio is close. If the President's support remains at this level, he is likely headed for an Ohio defeat. "